Discounted Cash Flow
Karooooo Ltd. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 70/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 46%,
net income 11% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $104.8m | $14.7m | $25.0m | 14.0% | $9150.00 |
| 2020 | $120.3m (14.7%) | $18.0m (22.3%) | $38.3m (53.1%) | 14.9% (6.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $141.9m (18.0%) | $19.7m (9.8%) | $35.0m (-8.6%) | 13.9% (-6.9%) | $15.65 |
| 2022 | $170.1m (19.9%) | $27.9m (41.4%) | $29.3m (-16.2%) | 16.4% (18.0%) | $15.24 (-2.6%) |
| 2023 | $217.2m (27.7%) | $37.0m (32.7%) | $39.2m (33.7%) | 17.0% (3.9%) | $19.29 (26.6%) |
| 2024 | $260.4m (19.9%) | $45.7m (23.6%) | $22.7m (-42.1%) | 17.6% (3.1%) | $23.85 (23.6%) |
| 2025 | $282.9m (8.6%) | $57.0m (24.8%) | $82.2m (262.1%) | 20.2% (14.9%) | $29.81 (25.0%) |
| 2026 | $339.3m (20.0%) | $61.6m (7.9%) | $71.4m (-13.1%) | 18.1% (-10.0%) | $32.17 (7.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ZAR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.