Discounted Cash Flow
Kimco Realty Corp. REIT
—
—
Cash flow predictability 83/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 14%,
net income 58% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $841.2m | $272.2m | $425.4m | 32.4% | $0.79 |
| 2017 | $862.8m (2.6%) | $306.1m (12.5%) | $441.3m (3.7%) | 35.5% (9.7%) | $0.87 (10.1%) |
| 2018 | $836.9m (-3.0%) | $357.7m (16.8%) | $458.4m (3.9%) | 42.7% (20.5%) | $1.02 (17.2%) |
| 2019 | $832.7m (-0.5%) | $295.0m (-17.5%) | $419.3m (-8.5%) | 35.4% (-17.1%) | — |
| 2020 | $760.1m (-8.7%) | $719.1m (143.7%) | $423.9m (1.1%) | 94.6% (167.0%) | — |
| 2021 | $980.5m (29.0%) | $606.5m (-15.7%) | $444.7m (4.9%) | 61.9% (-34.6%) | — |
| 2022 | $1.2b (26.6%) | $90.5m (-85.1%) | $618.7m (39.1%) | 7.3% (-88.2%) | — |
| 2023 | $1.3b (3.2%) | $470.1m (419.4%) | $769.9m (24.4%) | 36.7% (403.1%) | — |
| 2024 | $1.5b (14.2%) | $295.1m (-37.2%) | $722.5m (-6.2%) | 20.2% (-45.0%) | — |
| 2025 | $1.5b (5.1%) | $420.1m (42.3%) | $791.5m (9.5%) | 27.3% (35.5%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in AUD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.