Discounted Cash Flow
Lion Group Holding Ltd. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 28/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 99%,
net income 86% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $837.5k | $-353.4k | $-150.1k | -42.2% | $-0.39 |
| 2019 | $2.4m (182.1%) | $1.0m (396.5%) | $1.0m (777.8%) | 44.3% (205.1%) | $1.16 (397.4%) |
| 2020 | $1.3m (-44.8%) | $-427.5k (-140.8%) | $13.5k (-98.7%) | -32.8% (-173.9%) | $-0.50 (-143.1%) |
| 2021 | $3.5m (164.5%) | $108.3k (125.3%) | $108.3k (703.9%) | 3.1% (109.6%) | $-0.54 (-8.0%) |
| 2022 | $114.1k (-96.7%) | $-307.4k (-383.8%) | $-502.5k (-563.9%) | -269.4% (-8680.2%) | $-1.40 (-159.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.7m (2256.3%) | $-72.4k (76.4%) | $709.3k (241.2%) | -2.7% (99.0%) | $-5.94 (-324.3%) |
| 2024 | $-16.4k (-100.6%) | $-13.4k (81.4%) | $-13.4k (-101.9%) | 81.7% (3134.7%) | $-130.90 (-2103.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.2m (7381.3%) | $-1.5k (89.1%) | $-450.8k (-3253.8%) | -0.1% (-100.2%) | $-29.12 (77.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in HKD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.