Discounted Cash Flow
LKQ Corp.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.0b | $540.6m | $739.9m | 5.4% | $1.51 |
| 2017 | $11.3b (13.4%) | $621.9m (15.0%) | $604.6m (-18.3%) | 5.5% (1.4%) | $1.73 (14.6%) |
| 2018 | $13.8b (22.0%) | $559.4m (-10.0%) | $828.2m (37.0%) | 4.0% (-26.3%) | $1.53 (-11.6%) |
| 2019 | $14.6b (5.3%) | $630.7m (12.7%) | $1.2b (49.7%) | 4.3% (7.1%) | $1.75 (14.4%) |
| 2020 | $13.5b (-7.0%) | $743.9m (18.0%) | $1.7b (35.7%) | 5.5% (26.8%) | $2.10 (20.0%) |
| 2021 | $15.3b (12.6%) | $1.3b (70.9%) | $1.6b (-5.3%) | 8.3% (51.8%) | $3.68 (75.2%) |
| 2022 | $14.9b (-2.3%) | $1.3b (5.3%) | $1.2b (-24.8%) | 9.0% (7.8%) | $4.15 (12.8%) |
| 2023 | $16.2b (8.4%) | $1.1b (-18.4%) | $1.2b (-2.9%) | 6.8% (-24.7%) | $3.50 (-15.7%) |
| 2024 | $16.7b (3.5%) | $807.5m (-26.1%) | $943.8m (-18.8%) | 4.8% (-28.6%) | $2.62 (-25.1%) |
| 2025 | $15.9b (-4.9%) | $708.4m (-12.3%) | $986.9m (4.6%) | 4.5% (-7.7%) | $2.36 (-9.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.