Discounted Cash Flow
Brasilagro - Brazilian Agricultural Real Estate Co. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 52/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 52%,
net income 73% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $28.7m | $-863.5k | $-863.5k | -3.0% | $0.48 |
| 2018 | $47.7m (66.3%) | $31.4m (3734.2%) | $-526.3k (39.1%) | 65.8% (2285.6%) | $2.35 (392.7%) |
| 2019 | $69.8m (46.5%) | $39.0m (24.2%) | $9.9m (1987.5%) | 55.8% (-15.2%) | $3.29 (40.0%) |
| 2020 | $95.1m (36.2%) | $-29.3k (-100.1%) | $12.9m (29.5%) | -0.0% (-100.1%) | $2.11 (-35.9%) |
| 2021 | $129.4m (36.0%) | $3.8m (13110.0%) | $21.7m (68.5%) | 2.9% (9668.2%) | $4.56 (116.2%) |
| 2022 | $228.0m (76.2%) | $124.4m (3165.8%) | $39.7m (83.3%) | 54.6% (1753.4%) | $5.26 (15.4%) |
| 2023 | $176.3m (-22.7%) | $55.0m (-55.8%) | $29.2m (-26.4%) | 31.2% (-42.8%) | $2.72 (-48.3%) |
| 2024 | $150.5m (-14.6%) | $37.4m (-32.0%) | $14.1m (-51.9%) | 24.8% (-20.4%) | $2.28 (-16.2%) |
| 2025 | $171.2m (13.8%) | $40.3m (7.8%) | $11.7m (-16.8%) | 23.5% (-5.3%) | $1.39 (-39.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.