Discounted Cash Flow
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.5b | $193.2m | $112.8m | 12.9% | $1.90 |
| 2017 | $1.7b (13.8%) | $220.3m (14.0%) | $172.0m (52.6%) | 12.9% (0.2%) | $2.21 (16.3%) |
| 2018 | $1.9b (13.0%) | $187.9m (-14.7%) | $240.7m (39.9%) | 9.8% (-24.5%) | $1.90 (-14.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (24.1%) | $351.4m (87.0%) | $375.5m (56.0%) | 14.7% (50.7%) | $3.63 (91.1%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (21.0%) | $468.9m (33.4%) | $280.5m (-25.3%) | 16.2% (10.3%) | $4.95 (36.4%) |
| 2021 | $3.2b (10.6%) | $427.7m (-8.8%) | $417.0m (48.6%) | 13.4% (-17.5%) | $4.52 (-8.7%) |
| 2022 | $4.5b (42.1%) | $708.4m (65.6%) | $722.4m (73.2%) | 15.6% (16.5%) | $7.52 (66.4%) |
| 2023 | $5.9b (29.6%) | $620.8m (-12.4%) | $238.1m (-67.0%) | 10.5% (-32.4%) | $6.70 (-10.9%) |
| 2024 | $7.0b (18.6%) | $1.1b (81.4%) | $1.2b (401.6%) | 16.1% (52.9%) | $12.23 (82.5%) |
| 2025 | $7.7b (10.1%) | $1.3b (17.1%) | $1.2b (-3.7%) | 17.1% (6.3%) | $14.67 (20.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.