Discounted Cash Flow
LSB Industries, Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 33/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 80%,
net income 86% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $435.1m | $130.3m | $-248.9m | 29.9% | $2.54 |
| 2017 | $496.6m (14.1%) | $-33.9m (-126.0%) | $-42.8m (82.8%) | -6.8% (-122.8%) | $-2.18 (-185.8%) |
| 2018 | $439.3m (-11.5%) | $-83.9m (-147.2%) | $-22.6m (47.3%) | -19.1% (-179.5%) | $-3.74 (-71.6%) |
| 2019 | $424.1m (-3.5%) | $-73.7m (12.2%) | $-39.5m (-74.9%) | -17.4% (9.0%) | $-3.44 (8.0%) |
| 2020 | $408.1m (-3.8%) | $-71.9m (2.4%) | $-38.3m (2.9%) | -17.6% (-1.4%) | $-2.71 (21.2%) |
| 2021 | $646.1m (58.3%) | $50.6m (170.3%) | $61.0m (259.2%) | 7.8% (144.4%) | $-4.40 (-62.4%) |
| 2022 | $1.0b (62.1%) | $267.6m (429.0%) | $348.3m (471.1%) | 25.5% (226.3%) | $2.72 (161.8%) |
| 2023 | $689.7m (-34.2%) | $32.4m (-87.9%) | $81.2m (-76.7%) | 4.7% (-81.6%) | $0.37 (-86.4%) |
| 2024 | $606.8m (-12.0%) | $-22.5m (-169.3%) | $-6.6m (-108.2%) | -3.7% (-178.8%) | $-0.27 (-173.0%) |
| 2025 | $714.6m (17.8%) | $28.6m (227.2%) | $21.0m (415.9%) | 4.0% (208.0%) | $0.34 (225.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.