Discounted Cash Flow
Mercadolibre Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 26/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 90%,
net income 89% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $557.3k | $90.0k | $90.0k | 16.1% | $3.09 |
| 2017 | $802.9k (44.1%) | $9.1k (-89.9%) | $9.1k (-89.9%) | 1.1% (-93.0%) | $0.31 (-90.0%) |
| 2018 | $950.2k (18.3%) | $-24.1k (-365.5%) | $-24.1k (-365.5%) | -2.5% (-324.3%) | $-0.82 (-364.5%) |
| 2019 | — | $-113.5k (-370.1%) | $-2.7m (-10941.6%) | — | $-3.71 (-352.4%) |
| 2020 | — | $-467 (99.6%) | $-2.7m (0.6%) | — | $-0.08 (97.8%) |
| 2021 | $4.7m | $55.0k (11882.7%) | $55.0k (102.1%) | 1.2% | $1.67 (2187.5%) |
| 2022 | $9.2m (96.2%) | $318.1k (478.6%) | $318.1k (478.6%) | 3.5% (195.0%) | $9.57 (473.1%) |
| 2023 | $9.6m (4.4%) | $651.4k (104.8%) | $651.4k (104.8%) | 6.8% (96.2%) | $19.64 (105.2%) |
| 2024 | $13.7m (43.6%) | $1.3m (93.6%) | $-5.8m (-990.8%) | 9.2% (34.9%) | $37.69 (91.9%) |
| 2025 | $19.1m (39.1%) | $1.3m (4.5%) | $-1.7m (70.0%) | 6.9% (-24.9%) | $39.40 (4.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ARS. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.