Discounted Cash Flow

Manulife Financial Corp. Foreign

MFC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from CAD to USD

Cash flow predictability 82/100 (stable) — FCF YoY std dev 19%, net income 36% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $38.6b $2.1b $12.3b 5.5% $1.42
2017 $42.2b (9.3%) $1.5b (-28.2%) $12.9b (4.5%) 3.6% (-34.3%) $0.98 (-31.0%)
2018 $28.2b (-33.2%) $3.5b (128.1%) $13.5b (5.2%) 12.3% (241.4%) $2.34 (138.8%)
2019 $57.6b (104.2%) $4.1b (16.7%) $13.9b (2.6%) 7.0% (-42.8%) $2.77 (18.4%)
2020 $57.1b (-0.8%) $4.2b (4.8%) $14.3b (3.1%) 7.4% (5.7%) $2.94 (6.1%)
2021 $44.7b (-21.7%) $5.1b (21.0%) $16.8b (17.0%) 11.5% (54.5%) $3.55 (20.7%)
2022 $12.4b (-72.3%) $5.3b (2.7%) $10.7b (-36.3%) 42.5% (270.1%) $3.68 (3.7%)
2023 $4.9b (-60.7%) $3.7b (-30.0%) $13.6b (27.7%) 75.6% (77.8%) $2.62 (-28.8%)
2024 $5.5b (12.5%) $3.9b (5.5%) $16.8b (23.3%) 71.0% (-6.2%) $2.85 (8.8%)
2025 $5.9b (7.1%) $4.0b (3.5%) $21.5b (27.8%) 68.5% (-3.4%) $3.08 (8.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model