Discounted Cash Flow
Magna International Inc. Foreign
—
Sales growth has weakened: 4.4% (2022) → 13.1% (2023) → 0.1% (2024) → -1.9% (2025). Revenue growth has been decelerating or declining in recent years and is now -1.9% — a slowing company may not sustain the growth the DCF projects, so the valuation could be overstated.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $1.5b | $1.1b | — | $5.19 |
| 2017 | $26.5b | $1.6b (8.6%) | $1.1b (-6.8%) | 6.0% | $5.93 (14.3%) |
| 2018 | $29.5b (11.6%) | $1.7b (4.1%) | $2.5b (137.8%) | 5.6% (-6.7%) | $6.65 (12.1%) |
| 2019 | $28.5b (-3.4%) | $1.3b (-23.1%) | $1.8b (-28.0%) | 4.5% (-20.4%) | $5.61 (-15.6%) |
| 2020 | $23.6b (-17.2%) | $547.9m (-57.1%) | $1.5b (-15.3%) | 2.3% (-48.2%) | $2.52 (-55.1%) |
| 2021 | $26.2b (11.0%) | $1.1b (100.0%) | $1.1b (-26.5%) | 4.2% (80.2%) | $5.04 (100.0%) |
| 2022 | $27.4b (4.4%) | $428.5m (-60.9%) | $299.6m (-73.6%) | 1.6% (-62.5%) | $2.04 (-59.5%) |
| 2023 | $31.0b (13.1%) | $877.9m (104.9%) | $469.7m (56.8%) | 2.8% (81.2%) | $4.24 (107.8%) |
| 2024 | $31.0b (0.1%) | $730.3m (-16.8%) | $1.1b (124.3%) | 2.4% (-16.9%) | $3.52 (-17.0%) |
| 2025 | $30.4b (-1.9%) | $600.0m (-17.8%) | $1.7b (56.9%) | 2.0% (-16.2%) | $2.94 (-16.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.