Discounted Cash Flow
Natural Alternatives International Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 36/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 88%,
net income 64% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $132.7m | $11.1m | $-1.3m | 8.4% | $1.46 |
| 2017 | $141.7m (6.8%) | $8.4m (-24.2%) | $10.2m (859.8%) | 5.9% (-29.0%) | $1.10 (-24.7%) |
| 2018 | $153.8m (8.6%) | $5.9m (-30.2%) | $-2.6m (-125.6%) | 3.8% (-35.7%) | $0.76 (-30.9%) |
| 2019 | $160.6m (4.4%) | $7.6m (29.5%) | $1.4m (155.0%) | 4.7% (24.0%) | $0.96 (26.3%) |
| 2020 | $138.1m (-14.0%) | $-1.9m (-125.1%) | $-987.4k (-168.7%) | -1.4% (-129.3%) | $-0.25 (-126.0%) |
| 2021 | $207.4m (50.2%) | $12.5m (754.6%) | $18.2m (1946.9%) | 6.0% (535.9%) | $1.71 (784.0%) |
| 2022 | $198.6m (-4.2%) | $12.4m (-0.5%) | $-17.0m (-193.1%) | 6.3% (3.9%) | $1.75 (2.3%) |
| 2023 | $178.9m (-9.9%) | $2.9m (-76.5%) | $-7.6m (55.5%) | 1.6% (-73.9%) | $0.43 (-75.4%) |
| 2024 | $132.2m (-26.1%) | $-8.4m (-386.2%) | $-5.2m (30.6%) | -6.3% (-487.3%) | $-1.23 (-386.0%) |
| 2025 | $150.8m (14.1%) | $-15.8m (-88.1%) | $2.7m (151.4%) | -10.5% (-64.8%) | $-2.28 (-85.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.