Discounted Cash Flow
Nebius Group N.V. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 25/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 89%,
net income 91% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $14.8m | $1.3m | $1.3m | 8.9% | $0.35 |
| 2017 | $19.4m (30.5%) | $1.8m (36.1%) | $2.3m (76.4%) | 9.3% (4.3%) | $0.47 (34.3%) |
| 2018 | $21.8m (12.5%) | $8.1m (349.5%) | $-19.0k (-100.8%) | 37.3% (299.4%) | $2.10 (346.8%) |
| 2019 | $26.4m (21.0%) | $152.0m (1772.4%) | $3.6m (18993.8%) | 576.6% (1446.8%) | $0.50 (-76.2%) |
| 2020 | $35.0m (32.9%) | $4.1m (-97.3%) | $1.3m (-63.9%) | 11.7% (-98.0%) | $1.01 (102.0%) |
| 2021 | $56.8m (62.2%) | $-2.3m (-157.1%) | $-5.6m (-536.2%) | -4.1% (-135.2%) | $-0.54 (-153.5%) |
| 2022 | $87.9m (54.7%) | $6.7m (384.5%) | $-1.5m (73.5%) | 7.6% (283.9%) | $1.52 (381.5%) |
| 2023 | $105.8m (20.3%) | $2.6m (-60.5%) | $-2.7m (-80.6%) | 2.5% (-67.2%) | $0.60 (-60.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.4m (-98.7%) | $-7.6m (-389.6%) | $-6.7m (-147.4%) | -545.9% (-22085.7%) | $-2.28 (-480.0%) |
| 2025 | $6.3m (350.9%) | $978.0k (112.9%) | $978.0k (114.7%) | 15.6% (102.9%) | $0.34 (114.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in RUB. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.