Discounted Cash Flow

Nice Ltd. ADR

NICE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from ILS to USD

Cash flow predictability 84/100 (stable) — FCF YoY std dev 30%, net income 12% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $335.1m $38.6m $63.7m 11.5% $1.96
2017 $439.6m (31.2%) $47.3m (22.6%) $117.1m (83.8%) 10.8% (-6.6%) $2.37 (20.9%)
2018 $476.7m (8.4%) $52.6m (11.2%) $120.5m (2.9%) 11.0% (2.5%) $2.60 (9.7%)
2019 $519.4m (9.0%) $61.4m (16.7%) $114.5m (-5.0%) 11.8% (7.1%) $2.99 (15.0%)
2020 $543.9m (4.7%) $64.9m (5.8%) $150.5m (31.5%) 11.9% (1.0%) $3.13 (4.7%)
2021 $634.0m (16.6%) $65.9m (1.5%) $144.2m (-4.2%) 10.4% (-13.0%) $3.15 (0.6%)
2022 $719.9m (13.5%) $87.5m (32.8%) $147.8m (2.5%) 12.2% (17.0%) $4.17 (32.4%)
2023 $784.6m (9.0%) $111.1m (26.9%) $175.6m (18.8%) 14.2% (16.5%) $5.32 (27.6%)
2024 $902.7m (15.0%) $145.0m (30.6%) $263.3m (49.9%) 16.1% (13.5%) $6.97 (31.0%)
2025 $972.0m (7.7%) $202.0m (39.3%) $230.2m (-12.5%) 20.8% (29.3%) $9.82 (40.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in ILS. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model