Discounted Cash Flow
North American Construction Group Ltd. Foreign
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 39/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 61%,
net income 51% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $154.3m | $-322.1k | $-19.7m | -0.2% | $-0.01 |
| 2017 | $211.7m (37.2%) | $3.8m (1282.9%) | $3.8m (119.4%) | 1.8% (962.0%) | $0.20 (2100.0%) |
| 2018 | $296.8m (40.2%) | $11.1m (190.4%) | $-58.7m (-1639.9%) | 3.7% (107.2%) | $0.61 (205.0%) |
| 2019 | $520.4m (75.4%) | $26.7m (141.3%) | $-113.5m (-93.4%) | 5.1% (37.6%) | $1.45 (137.7%) |
| 2020 | $362.2m (-30.4%) | $35.6m (33.4%) | $-84.9m (25.1%) | 9.8% (91.8%) | $1.75 (20.7%) |
| 2021 | $473.5m (30.7%) | $37.2m (4.5%) | $-81.6m (3.9%) | 7.9% (-20.1%) | $1.81 (3.4%) |
| 2022 | $557.0m (17.6%) | $48.8m (31.1%) | $-81.3m (0.3%) | 8.8% (11.4%) | $2.46 (35.9%) |
| 2023 | $698.2m (25.4%) | $45.7m (-6.3%) | $-145.4m (-78.8%) | 6.5% (-25.2%) | $2.38 (-3.3%) |
| 2024 | $843.8m (20.8%) | $31.9m (-30.2%) | $-201.9m (-38.8%) | 3.8% (-42.2%) | $1.65 (-30.7%) |
| 2025 | $929.5m (10.2%) | $24.5m (-23.3%) | $-202.5m (-0.3%) | 2.6% (-30.3%) | $1.18 (-28.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.