Discounted Cash Flow

NOV Inc.

NOV · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from SGD to USD

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⚠ Cash flow predictability 48/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 69%, net income 77% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales — — —
Free Cash Flow — — —
Average (FCF & NI) — — —
Net Income — — —
Dividends — — —

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales — — —
Free Cash Flow — — —
Average (FCF & NI) — — —
Net Income — — —

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

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Free cash flow growth —
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI) —
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth —
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations) —
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

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Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.7b $-1.9b $535.1m -33.3% $-6.41
2017 $5.8b (0.7%) $-187.6m (90.2%) $506.6m (-5.3%) -3.2% (90.2%) $-0.63 (90.2%)
2018 $6.7b (15.7%) $-24.5m (86.9%) $219.3m (-56.7%) -0.4% (88.7%) $-0.08 (87.3%)
2019 $6.7b (0.3%) $-4.8b (-19561.3%) $380.7m (73.6%) -71.9% (-19501.0%) $-15.96 (-19850.0%)
2020 $4.8b (-28.2%) $-2.0b (58.3%) $554.1m (45.5%) -41.7% (41.9%) $-6.62 (58.5%)
2021 $4.4b (-9.3%) $-197.9m (90.2%) $71.2m (-87.1%) -4.5% (89.2%) $-0.65 (90.2%)
2022 $5.7b (31.0%) $122.7m (162.0%) $-311.1m (-536.7%) 2.1% (147.3%) $0.40 (161.5%)
2023 $6.8b (18.6%) $786.0m (540.6%) $-110.8m (64.4%) 11.6% (440.2%) $2.53 (532.5%)
2024 $7.0b (3.3%) $502.6m (-36.1%) $754.3m (780.7%) 7.2% (-38.1%) $1.62 (-36.0%)
2025 $6.9b (-1.4%) $114.8m (-77.2%) $693.4m (-8.1%) 1.7% (-76.8%) $0.39 (-75.9%)

Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth: —

Projection period: — years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in SGD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF: —

Terminal FCF: —

Terminal value: —

PV of terminal value: —

Enterprise value (DCF): —

DCF price per share: —

Current price: —

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) ⓘ — — — — 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline) ⓘ — — — — —
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) ⓘ — — — N/A —

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model