Discounted Cash Flow
Novanta Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 65/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 49%,
net income 37% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $446.9m | $25.6m | $45.7m | 5.7% | $0.63 |
| 2017 | $605.5m (35.5%) | $69.8m (172.9%) | $63.1m (38.0%) | 11.5% (101.4%) | $1.14 (81.0%) |
| 2018 | $713.6m (17.8%) | $57.0m (-18.2%) | $87.1m (38.1%) | 8.0% (-30.6%) | $1.46 (28.1%) |
| 2019 | $727.3m (1.9%) | $47.4m (-17.0%) | $61.0m (-30.0%) | 6.5% (-18.5%) | $1.16 (-20.5%) |
| 2020 | $686.1m (-5.7%) | $51.7m (9.2%) | $150.7m (147.1%) | 7.5% (15.8%) | $1.27 (9.5%) |
| 2021 | $821.0m (19.7%) | $58.5m (13.1%) | $86.7m (-42.5%) | 7.1% (-5.5%) | $1.42 (11.8%) |
| 2022 | $1.0b (21.8%) | $86.0m (47.1%) | $82.6m (-4.7%) | 8.6% (20.8%) | $2.08 (46.5%) |
| 2023 | $1.0b (2.4%) | $84.7m (-1.6%) | $116.3m (40.7%) | 8.3% (-3.9%) | $2.03 (-2.4%) |
| 2024 | $1.1b (7.7%) | $74.4m (-12.1%) | $164.2m (41.2%) | 6.8% (-18.3%) | $1.78 (-12.3%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (3.3%) | $62.5m (-16.0%) | $56.3m (-65.7%) | 5.5% (-18.7%) | $1.47 (-17.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.