Discounted Cash Flow
NPK International Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 27/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 88%,
net income 88% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $338.8m | $-29.3m | $-19.6m | -8.6% | $-0.49 |
| 2017 | $537.3m (58.6%) | $-4.4m (84.9%) | $5.0m (125.6%) | -0.8% (90.5%) | $-0.07 (85.7%) |
| 2018 | $680.1m (26.6%) | $23.2m (625.1%) | $13.1m (160.5%) | 3.4% (514.8%) | $0.36 (614.3%) |
| 2019 | $589.3m (-13.4%) | $-9.3m (-140.1%) | $19.7m (50.5%) | -1.6% (-146.3%) | $-0.14 (-138.9%) |
| 2020 | $354.0m (-39.9%) | $-58.0m (-523.3%) | $28.7m (45.5%) | -16.4% (-937.7%) | $-0.89 (-535.7%) |
| 2021 | $441.7m (24.8%) | $-18.3m (68.4%) | $-17.8m (-162.0%) | -4.2% (74.7%) | $-0.28 (68.5%) |
| 2022 | $586.0m (32.7%) | $-15.0m (18.4%) | $-38.3m (-114.8%) | -2.6% (38.5%) | $-0.22 (21.4%) |
| 2023 | $538.6m (-8.1%) | $10.4m (169.7%) | $50.8m (232.8%) | 1.9% (175.8%) | $0.17 (177.3%) |
| 2024 | $156.3m (-71.0%) | $-108.0m (-1135.1%) | $-3.9m (-107.6%) | -69.1% (-3667.8%) | $-1.75 (-1129.4%) |
| 2025 | $199.1m (27.4%) | $28.0m (125.9%) | $18.9m (590.8%) | 14.1% (120.3%) | $0.46 (126.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in AUD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.