Discounted Cash Flow
Pacific Airport Group ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $655.6m | $193.7m | $332.9m | 29.5% | $6.24 |
| 2017 | $729.8m (11.3%) | $274.4m (41.7%) | $364.1m (9.4%) | 37.6% (27.2%) | $8.85 (41.7%) |
| 2018 | $833.5m (14.2%) | $297.3m (8.4%) | $427.0m (17.3%) | 35.7% (-5.1%) | $9.58 (8.4%) |
| 2019 | $957.7m (14.9%) | $316.4m (6.4%) | $481.8m (12.8%) | 33.0% (-7.4%) | — |
| 2020 | $700.4m (-26.9%) | $116.2m (-63.3%) | $210.5m (-56.3%) | 16.6% (-49.8%) | $3746.10 |
| 2021 | $1.1b (60.2%) | $354.0m (204.6%) | $654.9m (211.1%) | 31.5% (90.1%) | $11.55 (-99.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.6b (44.0%) | $532.0m (50.3%) | $738.9m (12.8%) | 32.9% (4.4%) | $17.73 (53.5%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (21.3%) | $563.2m (5.9%) | $822.4m (11.3%) | 28.7% (-12.7%) | $18.89 (6.5%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (1.2%) | $508.3m (-9.8%) | $984.1m (19.7%) | 25.6% (-10.8%) | $17.04 (-9.8%) |
| 2025 | $2.4b (23.2%) | $833.0m (63.9%) | $1.1b (9.4%) | 34.1% (33.0%) | $18.93 (11.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in MXN. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.