Discounted Cash Flow
Perrigo Co. Plc.
—
Sales growth has weakened: 7.6% (2022) → 4.6% (2023) → -6.1% (2024) → -2.8% (2025). Revenue growth has been decelerating or declining in recent years and is now -2.8% — a slowing company may not sustain the growth the DCF projects, so the valuation could be overstated.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.1b | $-4.7b | $637.4m | -76.0% | $-28.01 |
| 2017 | $5.7b (-6.3%) | $138.9m (103.0%) | $708.9m (11.2%) | 2.4% (103.2%) | $0.84 (103.0%) |
| 2018 | $5.5b (-4.3%) | $152.2m (9.5%) | $569.6m (-19.6%) | 2.8% (14.5%) | $0.95 (13.1%) |
| 2019 | $5.6b (2.2%) | $169.7m (11.5%) | $290.5m (-49.0%) | 3.0% (9.1%) | $1.07 (12.6%) |
| 2020 | $5.9b (4.7%) | $-188.9m (-211.3%) | $541.1m (86.2%) | -3.2% (-206.3%) | $-1.19 (-211.2%) |
| 2021 | $4.8b (-18.3%) | $-80.0m (57.6%) | $4.9m (-99.1%) | -1.7% (48.2%) | $-0.52 (56.3%) |
| 2022 | $5.2b (7.6%) | $-163.3m (-104.1%) | $245.0m (4921.4%) | -3.2% (-89.7%) | $-1.04 (-100.0%) |
| 2023 | $5.4b (4.6%) | $-14.8m (91.0%) | $352.9m (44.0%) | -0.3% (91.4%) | $-0.09 (91.3%) |
| 2024 | $5.1b (-6.1%) | $-199.6m (-1252.8%) | $284.1m (-19.5%) | -3.9% (-1340.0%) | $-1.25 (-1288.9%) |
| 2025 | $4.9b (-2.8%) | $-1.7b (-729.7%) | $168.5m (-40.7%) | -33.5% (-753.2%) | $-10.29 (-723.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.