Discounted Cash Flow
Qiagen N.V. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 69/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 36%,
net income 75% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $93.4m | $310.2m | 6.0% | $0.34 |
| 2017 | $1.6b (5.9%) | $46.9m (-49.8%) | $228.5m (-26.3%) | 2.8% (-52.6%) | $0.18 (-47.1%) |
| 2018 | $1.7b (5.9%) | $221.1m (371.3%) | $290.1m (27.0%) | 12.7% (344.8%) | $0.84 (366.7%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (1.6%) | $-48.2m (-121.8%) | $247.3m (-14.7%) | -2.7% (-121.4%) | $-0.18 (-121.4%) |
| 2020 | $2.2b (22.5%) | $417.2m (966.5%) | $377.5m (52.7%) | 19.2% (807.1%) | $1.57 (972.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.6b (20.4%) | $595.4m (42.7%) | $521.7m (38.2%) | 22.8% (18.5%) | $2.25 (43.3%) |
| 2022 | $2.5b (-4.9%) | $491.6m (-17.4%) | $680.7m (30.5%) | 19.8% (-13.2%) | $1.86 (-17.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (-8.2%) | $396.5m (-19.4%) | $359.8m (-47.1%) | 17.4% (-12.1%) | $1.50 (-19.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.3b (0.7%) | $97.1m (-75.5%) | $588.2m (63.5%) | 4.2% (-75.7%) | $0.38 (-74.7%) |
| 2025 | $2.4b (5.7%) | $493.5m (408.3%) | $526.5m (-10.5%) | 20.3% (381.1%) | $1.96 (415.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.