Discounted Cash Flow
RBC Bearings Inc.
—
—
Cash flow predictability 80/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 29%,
net income 37% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $762.5m | $87.5m | $99.6m | 11.5% | $3.00 |
| 2018 | $836.3m (9.7%) | $108.0m (23.4%) | $126.8m (27.3%) | 12.9% (12.5%) | $3.64 (21.3%) |
| 2019 | $870.4m (4.1%) | $130.3m (20.7%) | $83.3m (-34.3%) | 15.0% (16.0%) | $4.32 (18.7%) |
| 2020 | $901.3m (3.6%) | $156.2m (19.8%) | $146.6m (76.1%) | 17.3% (15.7%) | $5.12 (18.5%) |
| 2021 | $754.5m (-16.3%) | $111.1m (-28.9%) | $174.3m (18.9%) | 14.7% (-15.0%) | $3.61 (-29.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (54.8%) | $65.7m (-40.8%) | $186.5m (7.0%) | 5.6% (-61.8%) | $1.97 (-45.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.8b (55.8%) | $206.5m (214.2%) | $221.3m (18.6%) | 11.3% (101.6%) | $5.00 (153.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.9b (6.2%) | $260.1m (25.9%) | $299.2m (35.2%) | 13.5% (18.6%) | $6.47 (29.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (4.9%) | $305.0m (17.3%) | $302.1m (1.0%) | 15.0% (11.8%) | $7.76 (19.9%) |
| 2026 | $2.3b (14.3%) | $356.3m (16.8%) | $424.5m (40.5%) | 15.4% (2.2%) | $9.14 (17.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CHF. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.