Discounted Cash Flow

Ralph Lauren Corp.

RL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from EUR to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 62/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 56%, net income 63% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $7.7b $-115.3m $776.3m -1.5% $-1.20
2018 $7.2b (-7.1%) $189.1m (263.9%) $945.0m (21.7%) 2.6% (276.4%) $1.99 (265.8%)
2019 $7.3b (2.1%) $500.5m (164.7%) $680.8m (-28.0%) 6.8% (159.2%) $5.35 (168.8%)
2020 $7.2b (-2.4%) $446.4m (-10.8%) $562.6m (-17.4%) 6.2% (-8.6%) $5.07 (-5.2%)
2021 $5.1b (-28.6%) $-140.7m (-131.5%) $317.2m (-43.6%) -2.8% (-144.1%) $-1.65 (-132.5%)
2022 $7.2b (41.3%) $697.1m (595.5%) $637.7m (101.0%) 9.7% (450.7%) $8.22 (598.2%)
2023 $7.5b (3.6%) $607.2m (-12.9%) $224.8m (-64.8%) 8.1% (-15.9%) $7.72 (-6.1%)
2024 $7.7b (2.9%) $750.7m (23.6%) $1.1b (367.6%) 9.7% (20.1%) $9.91 (28.4%)
2025 $8.2b (6.7%) $863.0m (14.9%) $1.2b (12.6%) 10.5% (7.7%) $11.86 (19.7%)
2026 $9.4b (14.6%) $1.1b (26.7%) $818.8m (-30.8%) 11.6% (10.5%) $15.42 (30.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model