Discounted Cash Flow

RTX Corp.

RTX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from EUR to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 47/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 60%, net income 54% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $66.5b $5.9b $-4.9b 8.8% $3.89
2017 $69.5b (4.5%) $5.3b (-10.0%) $-2.3b (52.4%) 7.6% (-13.9%) $3.62 (-6.8%)
2018 $77.2b (11.1%) $6.1b (15.8%) $-2.2b (5.6%) 7.9% (4.2%) $4.14 (14.2%)
2019 $89.5b (15.9%) $6.4b (5.1%) $7.7b (448.4%) 7.2% (-9.3%) $4.08 (-1.5%)
2020 $65.7b (-26.6%) $-4.1b (-163.6%) $-2.9b (-138.1%) -6.2% (-186.5%) $-2.59 (-163.5%)
2021 $74.8b (13.8%) $4.5b (209.8%) $-2.6b (12.6%) 6.0% (196.5%) $2.57 (199.2%)
2022 $77.9b (4.2%) $6.0b (34.5%) $-2.7b (-3.8%) 7.7% (29.1%) $3.52 (37.0%)
2023 $80.1b (2.8%) $3.7b (-38.5%) $-2.8b (-5.6%) 4.6% (-40.2%) $2.24 (-36.4%)
2024 $93.8b (17.1%) $5.5b (49.4%) $5.3b (287.7%) 5.9% (27.5%) $3.58 (59.8%)
2025 $102.9b (9.7%) $7.8b (41.0%) $9.2b (75.1%) 7.6% (28.5%) $5.02 (40.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model