Discounted Cash Flow
Companhia DE Saneamento Basico DO Estado DE SAO Paulo-sabesp ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.8b | $805.7m | $174.7m | 29.3% | — |
| 2017 | $2.9b (3.6%) | $683.7m (-15.1%) | $262.3m (50.1%) | 24.0% (-18.1%) | — |
| 2018 | $3.1b (10.1%) | $763.4m (11.7%) | $333.8m (27.2%) | 24.3% (1.4%) | — |
| 2019 | $3.5b (11.8%) | $912.9m (19.6%) | $195.5m (-41.4%) | 26.0% (6.9%) | $4.93 |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-1.0%) | $258.8m (-71.7%) | $327.6m (67.5%) | 7.5% (-71.4%) | $1.42 (-71.2%) |
| 2021 | $3.8b (9.5%) | $618.6m (139.1%) | $42.4m (-87.1%) | 16.3% (118.3%) | $3.37 (137.3%) |
| 2022 | $4.3b (13.2%) | $833.8m (34.8%) | $81.4m (92.1%) | 19.4% (19.1%) | $4.57 (35.6%) |
| 2023 | $5.0b (15.9%) | $927.7m (11.3%) | $168.4m (106.9%) | 18.6% (-4.0%) | $5.16 (12.9%) |
| 2024 | $7.1b (41.3%) | $2.7b (187.0%) | $-102.5m (-160.9%) | 37.7% (103.0%) | $14.02 (171.7%) |
| 2025 | $7.4b (5.4%) | $2.3b (-14.2%) | $-1.0b (-923.9%) | 30.7% (-18.6%) | $2.47 (-82.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.