Discounted Cash Flow

Shinhan Financial Group Co. Ltd. ADR

SHG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from KRW to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 39/100 (unstable) — FCF YoY std dev 92%, net income 7% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.3b $2.1b $2.8b 38.5%
2017 $5.8b (8.8%) $2.2b (5.2%) $755.8m (-73.1%) 37.2% (-3.4%)
2018 $6.3b (9.4%) $2.3b (8.2%) $-4.8b (-733.7%) 36.8% (-1.1%)
2019 $105.1m (-98.3%) $2.5b (7.8%) $5.0b (204.1%) 2396.4% (6413.5%)
2020 $181.4m (72.6%) $2.5b (0.3%) $-3.4b (-167.7%) 1392.7% (-41.9%)
2021 $270.4m (49.1%) $3.0b (17.7%) $8.2b (343.0%) 1099.8% (-21.0%)
2022 $354.0m (30.9%) $3.4b (15.5%) $4.9b (-40.0%) 970.4% (-11.8%)
2023 $444.2m (25.5%) $3.2b (-5.9%) $-137.9m (-102.8%) 727.7% (-25.0%) $8048.00
2024 $54.8b (12238.2%) $3.3b (1.9%) $2.8b (2164.2%) 6.0% (-99.2%) $8441.00 (4.9%)
2025 $3.8b (14.3%) $6.7b (136.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in KRW. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model