Discounted Cash Flow
Sonoco Products Co.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 51/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 72%,
net income 69% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.5b | $207.3m | $153.4m | 6.0% | $2.83 |
| 2017 | $3.6b (5.3%) | $126.9m (-38.8%) | $116.1m (-24.3%) | 3.5% (-41.9%) | $1.75 (-38.2%) |
| 2018 | $3.9b (7.0%) | $226.9m (78.8%) | $287.6m (147.6%) | 5.8% (67.1%) | $3.12 (78.3%) |
| 2019 | $3.9b (-0.3%) | $211.2m (-6.9%) | $166.4m (-42.1%) | 5.4% (-6.7%) | $2.90 (-7.1%) |
| 2020 | $3.8b (-2.5%) | $150.2m (-28.9%) | $370.2m (122.5%) | 4.0% (-27.0%) | $2.06 (-29.0%) |
| 2021 | $4.0b (6.7%) | $-61.9m (-141.2%) | $30.9m (-91.7%) | -1.5% (-138.6%) | $-0.86 (-141.7%) |
| 2022 | $5.2b (29.7%) | $337.6m (645.7%) | $130.5m (322.7%) | 6.4% (520.7%) | $4.76 (653.5%) |
| 2023 | $4.9b (-6.5%) | $343.8m (1.8%) | $376.3m (188.4%) | 7.0% (8.9%) | $4.83 (1.5%) |
| 2024 | $3.6b (-26.3%) | $118.7m (-65.5%) | $318.9m (-15.2%) | 3.3% (-53.2%) | $1.66 (-65.6%) |
| 2025 | $5.4b (50.3%) | $726.0m (511.8%) | $250.3m (-21.5%) | 13.3% (306.9%) | $10.12 (509.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.