Discounted Cash Flow
Sensata Technologies Holding Plc.
—
Sales growth has weakened: 5.5% (2022) → 0.6% (2023) → -3.0% (2024) → -5.8% (2025). Revenue growth has been decelerating or declining in recent years and is now -5.8% — a slowing company may not sustain the growth the DCF projects, so the valuation could be overstated.
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.7b | $304.8m | $547.7m | 8.2% | $1.54 |
| 2017 | $3.8b (3.3%) | $474.3m (55.6%) | $647.8m (18.3%) | 12.3% (50.7%) | $2.39 (55.2%) |
| 2018 | $4.1b (6.5%) | $695.8m (46.7%) | $720.8m (11.3%) | 17.0% (37.7%) | $3.55 (48.5%) |
| 2019 | $4.0b (-2.0%) | $328.4m (-52.8%) | $708.1m (-1.8%) | 8.2% (-51.8%) | $1.76 (-50.4%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-11.7%) | $190.8m (-41.9%) | $623.6m (-11.9%) | 5.4% (-34.2%) | $1.04 (-40.9%) |
| 2021 | $4.4b (25.5%) | $422.3m (121.3%) | $637.3m (2.2%) | 9.5% (76.4%) | $2.30 (121.2%) |
| 2022 | $4.7b (5.5%) | $360.9m (-14.5%) | $525.8m (-17.5%) | 7.7% (-19.0%) | $2.00 (-13.0%) |
| 2023 | $4.7b (0.6%) | $-4.5m (-101.3%) | $530.0m (0.8%) | -0.1% (-101.3%) | $-0.03 (-101.5%) |
| 2024 | $4.6b (-3.0%) | $149.2m (3386.7%) | $456.5m (-13.9%) | 3.3% (3488.1%) | $0.85 (2933.3%) |
| 2025 | $4.3b (-5.8%) | $36.4m (-75.6%) | $569.6m (24.8%) | 0.8% (-74.1%) | $0.21 (-75.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.