Discounted Cash Flow
Staar Surgical Co.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 31/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 83%,
net income 75% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $588.1k | $-13.9k | $11.7k | -2.4% | $-0.05 |
| 2018 | $148.4k (-74.8%) | $32.2k (332.3%) | $68.3k (482.3%) | 21.7% (1020.1%) | $0.12 (340.0%) |
| 2019 | $135.4k (-8.8%) | $91.2k (182.8%) | $101.9k (49.2%) | 67.3% (210.0%) | $0.32 (166.7%) |
| 2020 | $974.7k (619.9%) | $91.2k (0.0%) | $167.4k (64.3%) | 9.4% (-86.1%) | $0.32 (0.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.5m (53.5%) | $159.0k (74.4%) | $47.4k (-71.7%) | 10.6% (13.7%) | $0.52 (62.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.8m (23.4%) | $251.5k (58.2%) | $114.3k (141.0%) | 13.6% (28.2%) | $0.81 (55.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.1m (13.4%) | $138.5k (-44.9%) | $-23.3k (-120.4%) | 6.6% (-51.4%) | $0.44 (-45.7%) |
| 2024 | $2.0m (-2.6%) | $-131.1k (-194.7%) | $-49.8k (-113.4%) | -6.4% (-197.2%) | $-0.41 (-193.2%) |
| 2025 | $1.6m (-23.7%) | $-522.1k (-298.1%) | $-259.9k (-422.2%) | -33.6% (-421.9%) | $-1.62 (-295.1%) |
| 2026 | $1.6m (0.0%) | $-522.1k (0.0%) | $-222.2k (14.5%) | -33.6% (0.0%) | $-1.62 (0.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.