Discounted Cash Flow
Stantec Inc. Foreign
—
—
Cash flow predictability 71/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 55%,
net income 20% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.1b | $131.3m | $194.3m | 4.2% | $1.22 |
| 2017 | $3.7b (19.5%) | $191.4m (45.7%) | $181.1m (-6.8%) | 5.1% (21.9%) | $0.85 (-30.3%) |
| 2018 | $3.1b (-16.7%) | $164.4m (-14.1%) | $71.1m (-60.7%) | 5.3% (3.0%) | $0.42 (-50.6%) |
| 2019 | $3.5b (12.7%) | $192.8m (17.3%) | $298.7m (320.1%) | 5.5% (4.1%) | $1.74 (314.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.7b (-23.7%) | $157.4m (-18.4%) | $380.2m (27.3%) | 5.9% (6.9%) | $1.53 (-12.1%) |
| 2021 | $3.3b (24.2%) | $191.0m (21.4%) | $251.5m (-33.8%) | 5.7% (-2.3%) | $1.80 (17.6%) |
| 2022 | $4.1b (24.0%) | $236.1m (23.6%) | $173.6m (-31.0%) | 5.7% (-0.3%) | $2.23 (23.9%) |
| 2023 | $4.7b (14.1%) | $310.3m (31.4%) | $388.4m (123.7%) | 6.6% (15.1%) | $2.98 (33.6%) |
| 2024 | $5.4b (15.7%) | $337.9m (8.9%) | $366.1m (-5.7%) | 6.2% (-5.9%) | $3.17 (6.4%) |
| 2025 | $5.9b (8.6%) | $457.6m (35.4%) | $574.5m (56.9%) | 7.7% (24.7%) | $4.20 (32.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.