Discounted Cash Flow
Suncor Energy Inc. Foreign
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $19.5b | $314.1m | — | 1.6% | — |
| 2017 | $23.3b (19.3%) | $3.2b (927.2%) | — | 13.9% (760.9%) | — |
| 2018 | $28.2b (21.2%) | $3.6b (11.8%) | — | 12.8% (-7.7%) | $2.03 |
| 2019 | $28.2b (0.0%) | $1.8b (-49.2%) | — | 6.5% (-49.2%) | $1.86 (-8.4%) |
| 2020 | $18.1b (-35.7%) | $-4.4b (-340.7%) | — | -24.3% (-474.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $28.3b (56.1%) | $4.0b (191.4%) | — | 14.2% (158.5%) | $2.77 |
| 2022 | $42.3b (49.5%) | $8.9b (121.1%) | $7.6b | 21.1% (47.9%) | $6.54 (136.1%) |
| 2023 | $36.7b (-13.2%) | $7.7b (-14.0%) | $7.3b (-4.1%) | 20.9% (-0.9%) | $6.34 (-3.1%) |
| 2024 | $37.0b (0.8%) | $5.9b (-22.7%) | $9.4b (29.1%) | 16.0% (-23.3%) | $4.72 (-25.6%) |
| 2025 | $35.7b (-3.6%) | $5.8b (-2.9%) | $7.0b (-26.0%) | 16.1% (0.7%) | $4.85 (2.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CAD. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.