Discounted Cash Flow
Synaptics Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 62/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 41%,
net income 81% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.8m | $468.6k | $1.5m | 4.3% | $1.97 |
| 2017 | $11.2m (3.1%) | $316.7k (-32.4%) | $788.5k (-46.7%) | 2.8% (-34.4%) | $1.40 (-28.9%) |
| 2018 | $10.6m (-5.1%) | $-805.4k (-354.3%) | $719.7k (-8.7%) | -7.6% (-368.0%) | $-3.63 (-359.3%) |
| 2019 | $9.6m (-9.7%) | $-148.6k (81.5%) | $846.9k (17.7%) | -1.6% (79.6%) | $-0.66 (81.8%) |
| 2020 | $8.7m (-9.4%) | $771.0k (618.8%) | $1.3m (57.5%) | 8.9% (672.6%) | $3.54 (636.4%) |
| 2021 | $8.7m (0.4%) | $516.6k (-33.0%) | $1.9m (45.1%) | 5.9% (-33.3%) | $2.29 (-35.3%) |
| 2022 | $11.3m (29.9%) | $1.7m (223.5%) | $2.8m (44.8%) | 14.8% (149.1%) | $6.60 (188.2%) |
| 2023 | $8.8m (-22.1%) | $477.7k (-71.4%) | $1.9m (-31.1%) | 5.4% (-63.3%) | $1.86 (-71.8%) |
| 2024 | $6.2m (-29.2%) | $815.1k (70.7%) | $662.6k (-65.7%) | 13.1% (141.0%) | $3.20 (72.0%) |
| 2025 | $7.0m (12.0%) | $-310.2k (-138.1%) | $754.1k (13.8%) | -4.4% (-134.0%) | $-1.22 (-138.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.