Discounted Cash Flow

Thor Industries Inc.

THO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from EUR to USD

⚠ Cash flow predictability 68/100 (moderate) — FCF YoY std dev 35%, net income 58% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $5.3b $298.0m $336.0m 5.6% $4.89
2017 $8.4b (58.2%) $434.7m (45.9%) $353.5m (5.2%) 5.2% (-7.8%) $7.12 (45.6%)
2018 $9.7b (14.9%) $499.7m (14.9%) $381.4m (7.9%) 5.2% (0.0%) $8.17 (14.7%)
2019 $9.1b (-5.6%) $154.8m (-69.0%) $589.3m (54.5%) 1.7% (-67.2%) $2.47 (-69.8%)
2020 $9.5b (3.9%) $259.0m (67.3%) $623.7m (5.8%) 2.7% (61.1%) $4.04 (63.6%)
2021 $14.3b (50.8%) $766.5m (195.9%) $610.2m (-2.2%) 5.4% (96.2%) $11.93 (195.3%)
2022 $18.9b (32.4%) $1.3b (72.4%) $1.1b (87.1%) 7.0% (30.2%) $20.67 (73.3%)
2023 $12.9b (-31.8%) $434.8m (-67.1%) $1.1b (-0.4%) 3.4% (-51.8%) $7.00 (-66.1%)
2024 $11.7b (-9.7%) $308.2m (-29.1%) $622.6m (-45.2%) 2.6% (-21.5%) $4.98 (-28.9%)
2025 $11.1b (-4.6%) $300.3m (-2.5%) $642.9m (3.3%) 2.7% (2.2%) $4.87 (-2.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model