Discounted Cash Flow
Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. ADR
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 28/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 83%,
net income 67% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $905.8k | $31.7k | $-53.1k | 3.5% | $0.18 |
| 2021 | $1.4m (58.7%) | $35.8k (12.9%) | $-22.8k (56.9%) | 2.5% (-28.9%) | $0.21 (16.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.5m (3.1%) | $21.2k (-40.7%) | $-98.0k (-328.7%) | 1.4% (-42.5%) | $0.10 (-52.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.1m (-25.7%) | $-52.2k (-345.9%) | $-173.1k (-76.7%) | -4.7% (-431.0%) | $-0.22 (-320.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.3m (15.3%) | $48.5k (192.9%) | $6.4k (103.7%) | 3.8% (180.6%) | $0.20 (190.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.4m (7.4%) | $43.1k (-11.2%) | $-10.3k (-261.9%) | 3.2% (-17.3%) | $0.16 (-20.0%) |
| 2026 | $2.4m (77.6%) | $4.7k (-89.2%) | $-68.9k (-567.1%) | 0.2% (-93.9%) | $0.06 (-60.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.