Discounted Cash Flow

Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. ADR

TKLF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from JPY to USD (9 ordinary shares per ADR)

⚠ Cash flow predictability 28/100 (unstable) — FCF YoY std dev 83%, net income 67% (full history)

DCF estimate unavailable — no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_21238.97281_gte_yrN_4651.5777_window_5

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2020 $905.8k $31.7k $-53.1k 3.5% $0.18
2021 $1.4m (58.7%) $35.8k (12.9%) $-22.8k (56.9%) 2.5% (-28.9%) $0.21 (16.7%)
2022 $1.5m (3.1%) $21.2k (-40.7%) $-98.0k (-328.7%) 1.4% (-42.5%) $0.10 (-52.4%)
2023 $1.1m (-25.7%) $-52.2k (-345.9%) $-173.1k (-76.7%) -4.7% (-431.0%) $-0.22 (-320.0%)
2024 $1.3m (15.3%) $48.5k (192.9%) $6.4k (103.7%) 3.8% (180.6%) $0.20 (190.9%)
2025 $1.4m (7.4%) $43.1k (-11.2%) $-10.3k (-261.9%) 3.2% (-17.3%) $0.16 (-20.0%)
2026 $2.4m (77.6%) $4.7k (-89.2%) $-68.9k (-567.1%) 0.2% (-93.9%) $0.06 (-60.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

no_upward_trend_net_income_yr1_21238.97281_gte_yrN_4651.5777_window_5

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.