Discounted Cash Flow
Toyota Motor Corp./ ADR
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $160.5b | $11.9b | $7.1b | 7.4% | — |
| 2018 | $178.0b (10.9%) | $16.2b (36.2%) | $18.9b (166.2%) | 9.1% (22.8%) | $832.78 |
| 2019 | $196.2b (10.2%) | $12.2b (-24.5%) | $15.0b (-20.7%) | 6.2% (-31.5%) | $645.11 (-22.5%) |
| 2020 | $194.2b (-1.0%) | $13.5b (10.3%) | $14.2b (-5.7%) | 6.9% (11.4%) | $729.50 (13.1%) |
| 2021 | $176.6b (-9.1%) | $14.8b (9.9%) | $2.9b (-79.3%) | 8.4% (20.9%) | — |
| 2022 | $203.7b (15.3%) | $18.7b (25.9%) | $9.3b (217.9%) | 9.2% (9.2%) | — |
| 2023 | $241.1b (18.4%) | $16.2b (-13.3%) | $6.8b (-27.0%) | 6.7% (-26.8%) | — |
| 2024 | $292.7b (21.4%) | $32.9b (103.4%) | $8.7b (27.8%) | 11.2% (67.6%) | — |
| 2025 | $311.8b (6.5%) | $31.1b (-5.6%) | $4.5b (-47.7%) | 10.0% (-11.3%) | — |
| 2026 | $328.9b (5.5%) | $25.9b (-16.8%) | $17.6b (286.6%) | 7.9% (-21.1%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.