Discounted Cash Flow
Universal Electronics Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 41/100 (moderate) —
FCF YoY std dev 80%,
net income 85% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $97.1m | $3.0m | $1.3m | 3.1% | $1.41 |
| 2017 | $103.7m (6.8%) | $-1.5m (-150.7%) | $-4.0m (-399.1%) | -1.5% (-147.5%) | $-0.72 (-151.1%) |
| 2018 | $101.4m (-2.2%) | $1.8m (215.5%) | $-1.1m (72.6%) | 1.8% (218.1%) | $0.85 (218.1%) |
| 2019 | $112.4m (10.8%) | $541.3k (-69.6%) | $9.5m (977.5%) | 0.5% (-72.5%) | $0.26 (-69.4%) |
| 2020 | $91.7m (-18.4%) | $5.8m (962.6%) | $8.4m (-11.6%) | 6.3% (1202.5%) | $2.78 (969.2%) |
| 2021 | $89.7m (-2.1%) | $790.4k (-86.3%) | $4.1m (-51.0%) | 0.9% (-86.0%) | $0.39 (-86.0%) |
| 2022 | $80.9m (-9.8%) | $60.7k (-92.3%) | $-459.3k (-111.1%) | 0.1% (-91.5%) | $0.03 (-92.3%) |
| 2023 | $62.7m (-22.5%) | $-14.6m (-24237.1%) | $2.5m (654.4%) | -23.4% (-31257.6%) | $-7.64 (-25566.7%) |
| 2024 | $58.9m (-6.1%) | $-3.6m (75.5%) | $1.5m (-40.0%) | -6.1% (74.0%) | $-1.85 (75.8%) |
| 2025 | $54.9m (-6.7%) | $-2.8m (22.6%) | $2.9m (92.7%) | -5.1% (17.0%) | $-1.41 (23.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.