Discounted Cash Flow
Valhi Inc.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 37/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 78%,
net income 80% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $-18.5m | $24.3m | -1.0% | $0.08 |
| 2017 | $2.2b (20.0%) | $241.0m (1405.0%) | $218.4m (799.5%) | 11.0% (1188.0%) | $0.08 (0.0%) |
| 2018 | $2.1b (-3.2%) | $304.6m (26.4%) | $120.9m (-44.6%) | 14.4% (30.5%) | $0.08 (0.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (4.3%) | $57.2m (-81.2%) | $136.3m (12.7%) | 2.6% (-82.0%) | $1.73 (2062.5%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (-2.5%) | $64.1m (12.2%) | $100.7m (-26.1%) | 3.0% (15.1%) | $1.94 (12.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.7b (24.1%) | $147.8m (130.4%) | $459.5m (356.3%) | 5.5% (85.6%) | $4.46 (129.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.6b (-3.2%) | $104.8m (-29.1%) | $-38.0m (-108.3%) | 4.1% (-26.7%) | $3.16 (-29.1%) |
| 2023 | $2.2b (-13.5%) | $-14.1m (-113.4%) | $-51.8m (-36.4%) | -0.6% (-115.5%) | $-0.42 (-113.3%) |
| 2024 | $2.4b (9.5%) | $125.5m (992.6%) | $15.2m (129.4%) | 5.1% (914.9%) | $3.79 (1002.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.4b (-1.3%) | $-66.9m (-153.3%) | $-95.4m (-726.7%) | -2.8% (-154.0%) | $-2.02 (-153.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.