Discounted Cash Flow

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Foreign

VINP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from BRL to USD

Cash flow predictability 76/100 (stable) — FCF YoY std dev 40%, net income 30% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $57.9m $37.5m $25.5m 64.7% $17.41
2020 $66.3m (14.6%) $41.5m (10.7%) $37.7m (48.0%) 62.5% (-3.4%) $19.60 (12.6%)
2021 $90.8m (36.9%) $50.3m (21.3%) $55.7m (47.7%) 55.4% (-11.4%) $3.77 (-80.8%)
2022 $79.6m (-12.3%) $53.0m (5.4%) $21.7m (-61.0%) 66.6% (20.2%) $3.89 (3.2%)
2023 $88.7m (11.4%) $52.6m (-0.9%) $34.6m (59.2%) 59.3% (-11.0%) $4.02 (3.3%)
2024 $117.2m (32.2%) $31.6m (-39.9%) $37.2m (7.3%) 27.0% (-54.5%) $2.14 (-46.8%)
2025 $190.7m (62.7%) $51.1m (61.8%) $45.7m (22.9%) 26.8% (-0.5%) $3.43 (60.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model