Discounted Cash Flow
Westinghouse AIR Brake Technologies Corp.
—
—
Cash flow predictability 72/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 55%,
net income 14% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $181.5m | $18.9m | $24.7m | 10.4% | $3.37 |
| 2017 | $240.4m (32.4%) | $16.2m (-14.0%) | $6.2m (-75.1%) | 6.8% (-35.0%) | $2.74 (-18.7%) |
| 2018 | $270.2m (12.4%) | $18.3m (12.5%) | $13.7m (122.8%) | 6.8% (0.0%) | $3.06 (11.7%) |
| 2019 | $507.8m (87.9%) | $20.2m (10.8%) | $51.4m (275.0%) | 4.0% (-41.1%) | $1.91 (-37.6%) |
| 2020 | $467.9m (-7.9%) | $25.7m (26.8%) | $40.1m (-22.0%) | 5.5% (37.7%) | $2.18 (14.1%) |
| 2021 | $484.4m (3.5%) | $34.6m (34.7%) | $58.4m (45.7%) | 7.1% (30.1%) | $2.96 (35.8%) |
| 2022 | $517.9m (6.9%) | $39.2m (13.4%) | $55.1m (-5.7%) | 7.6% (6.1%) | $3.46 (16.9%) |
| 2023 | $599.3m (15.7%) | $50.5m (28.8%) | $62.9m (14.2%) | 8.4% (11.3%) | $4.54 (31.2%) |
| 2024 | $643.3m (7.3%) | $65.4m (29.6%) | $100.8m (60.3%) | 10.2% (20.7%) | $6.05 (33.3%) |
| 2025 | $691.6m (7.5%) | $72.5m (10.8%) | $92.8m (-7.9%) | 10.5% (3.1%) | $6.84 (13.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in ZAR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.