Discounted Cash Flow
Wabash National Corp.
—
—
⚠ Cash flow predictability 39/100 (unstable) —
FCF YoY std dev 73%,
net income 81% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $362.6m | $23.5m | $31.1m | 6.5% | $1.87 |
| 2017 | $347.3m (-4.2%) | $21.9m (-6.7%) | $23.3m (-25.3%) | 6.3% (-2.6%) | $1.88 (0.5%) |
| 2018 | $445.5m (28.3%) | $13.6m (-37.7%) | $15.4m (-33.7%) | 3.1% (-51.4%) | $1.22 (-35.1%) |
| 2019 | $455.7m (2.3%) | $17.6m (29.0%) | $21.3m (38.5%) | 3.9% (26.1%) | $1.64 (34.4%) |
| 2020 | $291.2m (-36.1%) | $-19.1m (-208.7%) | $20.4m (-4.3%) | -6.6% (-270.2%) | $-1.84 (-212.2%) |
| 2021 | $354.4m (21.7%) | $228.7k (101.2%) | $-11.1m (-154.4%) | 0.1% (101.0%) | $0.02 (101.1%) |
| 2022 | $491.7m (38.8%) | $22.1m (9544.2%) | $13.2m (218.4%) | 4.5% (6850.5%) | $2.31 (11450.0%) |
| 2023 | $498.4m (1.4%) | $45.4m (106.0%) | $43.5m (230.6%) | 9.1% (103.2%) | $4.92 (113.0%) |
| 2024 | $382.6m (-23.3%) | $-55.8m (-222.8%) | $8.9m (-79.6%) | -14.6% (-260.1%) | $-6.40 (-230.1%) |
| 2025 | $303.2m (-20.8%) | $41.6m (174.4%) | $-2.6m (-128.9%) | 13.7% (193.9%) | $5.09 (179.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in BRL. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.