Discounted Cash Flow

Western Union Co.

WU · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from EUR to USD

Cash flow predictability 73/100 (stable) — FCF YoY std dev 33%, net income 55% (full history)

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $6.3b $294.1m $1.1b 4.7% $0.52
2017 $6.4b (1.9%) $-647.1m (-320.0%) $774.4m (-31.5%) -10.1% (-316.0%) $-1.19 (-328.8%)
2018 $6.3b (-2.6%) $989.6m (252.9%) $795.2m (2.7%) 15.8% (256.9%) $1.89 (258.8%)
2019 $5.8b (-6.5%) $1.2b (24.2%) $1.0b (26.6%) 21.0% (32.9%) $2.47 (30.7%)
2020 $5.4b (-8.1%) $864.6m (-29.7%) $976.9m (-2.9%) 16.1% (-23.5%) $1.81 (-26.7%)
2021 $5.7b (5.2%) $936.0m (8.3%) $1.2b (19.8%) 16.6% (2.9%) $1.98 (9.4%)
2022 $4.9b (-12.6%) $1.1b (13.0%) $638.5m (-45.4%) 21.4% (29.2%) $2.35 (18.7%)
2023 $4.8b (-2.3%) $727.2m (-31.3%) $883.0m (38.3%) 15.1% (-29.7%) $1.69 (-28.1%)
2024 $4.7b (-3.1%) $1.1b (49.2%) $428.5m (-51.5%) 23.2% (54.1%) $2.75 (62.7%)
2025 $4.5b (-3.7%) $580.3m (-46.5%) $586.8m (36.9%) 12.9% (-44.5%) $1.53 (-44.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in EUR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model