Discounted Cash Flow
YUM Brands Inc.
—
—
Cash flow predictability 81/100 (stable) —
FCF YoY std dev 22%,
net income 30% (full history)
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $-3.2m | $16.9m | $21.3m | -527.4% | $4.11 |
| 2017 | $-4.6m (-43.3%) | $14.0m (-17.2%) | $10.8m (-49.3%) | -304.5% (42.3%) | $3.86 (-6.1%) |
| 2018 | $59.5m (1392.7%) | $16.1m (15.1%) | $10.2m (-5.2%) | 27.1% (108.9%) | $4.80 (24.4%) |
| 2019 | $58.5m (-1.6%) | $13.5m (-16.1%) | $11.7m (14.7%) | 23.1% (-14.7%) | $4.23 (-11.9%) |
| 2020 | $59.1m (1.0%) | $9.5m (-30.1%) | $12.0m (2.3%) | 16.0% (-30.8%) | $2.99 (-29.3%) |
| 2021 | $68.9m (16.5%) | $16.5m (74.2%) | $15.4m (28.9%) | 23.9% (49.6%) | $5.30 (77.3%) |
| 2022 | $71.6m (3.9%) | $13.9m (-15.9%) | $12.0m (-22.2%) | 19.4% (-19.0%) | $4.63 (-12.6%) |
| 2023 | $74.0m (3.4%) | $16.7m (20.5%) | $13.8m (14.8%) | 22.6% (16.5%) | $5.68 (22.7%) |
| 2024 | $79.0m (6.7%) | $15.5m (-7.0%) | $15.0m (8.6%) | 19.7% (-12.8%) | $5.28 (-7.0%) |
| 2025 | $85.9m (8.8%) | $16.3m (4.9%) | $17.1m (14.5%) | 19.0% (-3.6%) | $5.59 (5.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in INR. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Net debt deduction: —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.